The computer that predicts the future

Name:  Predicting Future.jpeg
Views: 20
Size:  7.5 KB

Wouldn’t it be great if the human race had a supercomputer that could predict the future? Well the good news is we do, sort of. It's called Nautilus, and it's apparently housed at the University of Illinois.Nautilus has "1024 Intel Nehalem cores (with) a total processing power of 8.2 teraflops", which makes it powerful enough to run the original Wolfenstein 3D at a hell of a frame rate AND foretell major world events. When switched on it started reading the news.

AND that’s how Nautilus works, see. It sits there reading the news and calculates what's coming. Earlier this year it sifted through 100 million news reports, analyzing them for general overall "mood" using a process called "automated sentiment mining". Yes, "automated sentiment mining". Women come equipped with that as standard, whereas wemen have to build computers to work out what our fellow humans are thinking. Nautilus’s advanced tonal, geographic, and network analysis methods were used to produce a network 2.4 petabytes in size containing more than 10 billion people, places,things, and activities connected by over 100 trillion relationships, capturing a cross-section of Earth from the news media. A subset of findings from this analysis were then reproduced for this study using more traditional methods and smaller-scale work flows that offer a model for a new class of digital humanities research that explores how the world views itself.

From doing all these Nautilus successfully predicted the Arab Spring and the rough whereabouts of Osama bin Laden. Wondering why you didn't hear more about this at the time? So was I. Turns out Nautilus only made these predictions retrospectively, ie some time after the fact. The scientists in charge of him checked over his output and decided various peaks and troughs had represented clear signs of coming trouble. Predicting the future after it's happened isn't much use.

Still, the authority concerned hoping to clear up that one flaw in the system. They believe Nautilus will eventually grow sophisticated enough to alert us to events in advance. I hope it breaks bad news to us gently, with a sadface emoticon or something. Like this: GLOBAL AVIAN FLU OUTBREAK

Not that it'll get to that. For one thing, Nautilus works by spotting the frequency of emotive words like "terrible" and"awful" in news articles, then cross-references them geographically,to chart a sudden plunge in goodwill in a specific region. That's how it foresaw the Egyptian revolution. Research also demonstrated that the news is indeed becoming more negative and even visualizes global human societal conflict and cooperation over the last quarter century.

What if Nautilus eventually becomes 100% accurate?

Source: 1,2